Scenario Probability Analysis
Scenario Probability Analysis is a “Thinking Tool” to help assign probabilities to different competing scenarios
The analysis follows a structured approach to weight the scenarios against each other. It gives an indication of the relative likelihood of each scenario.
You can Install the Freeware here.
User Interface
The User Interface of the Application consists of two parts, 1) The Application Form and 2) the Database Interface to store Evaluations.
The Scenario Probability Analysis Form, contains Two Evaluation Methods Tabs, which located below the navigation Panel.
User Interface: GoExplore Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification
The tow methods are implemented:
Degree of Belief Method
Pair-wise comparison Method